tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18497138.post3098341012810441037..comments2024-01-22T03:02:52.051-08:00Comments on California Greening: The Venus Syndrome:Weshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15684763427526399228noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18497138.post-69427311940300395712010-01-31T20:50:52.354-08:002010-01-31T20:50:52.354-08:00When I first read his comment that global warming ...When I first read his comment that global warming could mean not just the end of human civilization but also all life, I thought, he can't be right. <br /><br />I always assumed that life itself would survive. Even James Lovelock seems to think that, being convinced that human civilization as it exists today is doomed. <br /><br />But then I read his thoughts on a runaway greenhouse effect. I don't think this idea is in the mainstream yet, even among people that are atuned to climate change. It is what drives his whole notion that we have to eliminate coal burning and that cap-and-trade is not enough. <br /><br />Cap-and-trade is accepted as necessary by many advocates. Hansen calls it a lie.Tonynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18497138.post-7839422112246458632008-12-21T14:04:00.000-08:002008-12-21T14:04:00.000-08:00Discussing the timing of peak oil misses two major...Discussing the timing of peak oil misses two major points. One is the urgency of acting on climate change. The other is the fact the the IEA is talking about doing the very things that could doom us all.Weshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15684763427526399228noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18497138.post-28957057086347846292008-12-21T04:18:00.000-08:002008-12-21T04:18:00.000-08:00totally don't get this concept that peak oil l...totally don't get this concept that peak oil lies in the "distant" future<BR/><BR/>peak oil is, soon or past even<BR/><BR/>and i think what is being said here about the venus effect is quite possible<BR/><BR/>in any case we are going to need that stuff for more important things than fuel for some time<BR/><BR/>to paraphrase Mendel, to burn petrol for the heat to distill itself is like burning paper money to heat your home<BR/><BR/>he may not have said it, but the fact that for well over a century people have discussed seriously that he may have, or quoted him anyway, is very telling. Oil is a better than gold mine of materials for creating all kinds of stuff that we will find more need for than simple heat from fuel to transport<BR/><BR/>what idiot would think that such idiocy would stammer at all when faced with simple extinction?<BR/><BR/>new data shows that we may not even have a chance of hitting our long range CO2 targets very soon, 350? 450/mil? we are going to be lucky to keep it to 550, and no one even wants to talk about methane hydrates et cetera....<BR/><BR/>vote green or die mutha f**ker!<BR/><BR/>(love, & peace - respect out)anarkushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04063545371900882248noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-18497138.post-57368234770368417902008-12-21T01:03:00.000-08:002008-12-21T01:03:00.000-08:00The IEA forecast of 2020 for Peak Oil is wishful t...The IEA forecast of 2020 for Peak Oil is wishful thinking. Peak Oil is now.<BR/><BR/>Independent studies conclude that Peak Oil production will occur (or has occurred) between 2005 to 2010 (projected year for peak in parentheses), as follows:<BR/><BR/>* Association for the Study of Peak Oil (2007)<BR/><BR/>* Rembrandt Koppelaar, Editor of “Oil Watch Monthly” (2008 to 2010)<BR/><BR/>* Tony Eriksen, Oil stock analyst (2008)<BR/><BR/>* Matthew Simmons, Energy investment banker, (2007)<BR/><BR/>* T. Boone Pickens, Oil and gas investor (2007)<BR/><BR/>* U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (2005)<BR/><BR/>* Kenneth S. Deffeyes, Princeton professor and retired shell Geologist (2005)<BR/><BR/>* Sam Sam Bakhtiari, Retired Iranian National Oil Company geologist (2005)<BR/><BR/>* Chris Skrebowski, Editor of “Petroleum Review” (2010)<BR/><BR/>* Sadad Al Husseini, former head of production and exploration, Saudi Aramco (2008)<BR/><BR/>* Energy Watch Group in Germany (2006)<BR/><BR/><BR/>Independent studies indicate that global crude oil production will now decline from 74 million barrels per day to 60 million barrels per day by 2015. During the same time, demand will increase. Oil supplies will be even tighter for the U.S. As oil producing nations consume more and more oil domestically they will export less and less. Because demand is high in China, India, the Middle East, and other oil producing nations, once global oil production begins to decline, demand will always be higher than supply. And since the U.S. represents one fourth of global oil demand, whatever oil we conserve will be consumed elsewhere. Thus, conservation in the U.S. will not slow oil depletion rates significantly.<BR/><BR/>Alternatives will not even begin to fill the gap. And most alternatives yield electric power, but we need liquid fuels for tractors/combines, 18 wheel trucks, trains, ships, and mining equipment. The independent scientists of the Energy Watch Group conclude in a 2007 report titled: “Peak Oil Could Trigger Meltdown of Society:”<BR/><BR/>"By 2020, and even more by 2030, global oil supply will be dramatically lower. This will create a supply gap which can hardly be closed by growing contributions from other fossil, nuclear or alternative energy sources in this time frame." <BR/><BR/>http://www.energywatchgroup.org/fileadmin/global/pdf/EWG_Press_Oilreport_22-10-2007.pdf<BR/><BR/>With increasing costs for gasoline and diesel, along with declining taxes and declining gasoline tax revenues, states and local governments will eventually have to cut staff and curtail highway maintenance. Eventually, gasoline stations will close, and state and local highway workers won’t be able to get to work. We are facing the collapse of the highways that depend on diesel and gasoline powered trucks for bridge maintenance, culvert cleaning to avoid road washouts, snow plowing, and roadbed and surface repair. When the highways fail, so will the power grid, as highways carry the parts, large transformers, steel for pylons, and high tension cables from great distances. With the highways out, there will be no food coming from far away, and without the power grid virtually nothing modern works, including home heating, pumping of gasoline and diesel, airports, communications, and automated building systems. <BR/><BR/>This is documented in a free 48 page report that can be downloaded, website posted, distributed, and emailed: http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html<BR/><BR/>I used to live in NH-USA, but moved to a sustainable place. Anyone interested in relocating to a nice, pretty, sustainable area with a good climate and good soil? Email: clifford dot wirth at yahoo dot com or give me a phone call which operates here as my old USA-NH number 603-668-4207. http://survivingpeakoil.blogspot.com/Clifford J. Wirth, Ph.D., Professor Emeritus, University of New Hampshirehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00604482549497831495noreply@blogger.com